Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
47.99% ( 0.04) | 21.98% ( -0.01) | 30.03% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 66.5% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.75% ( 0.04) | 33.25% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.99% ( 0.04) | 55.01% ( -0.04) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( 0.03) | 14.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% ( 0.05) | 42.32% ( -0.05) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0) | 22.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0) | 55.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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