MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 19:17:41| >> :600:10814905:10814905:
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
Universitario

Botafogo
3 - 1
Universitario

Eduardo (47', 90+2'), Henrique (57')
John (59'), Hugo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olivares (90+4')
Saravia (16'), Valera (45'), Perez (45+3'), Celi (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
58.77% (0.235 0.23) 23.89% (-0.081 -0.08) 17.33% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)54.83% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.114 0.11)18.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.194 0.19)49.63% (-0.193 -0.19)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (-0.147 -0.15)45.27% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.85% (-0.116 -0.12)81.15% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 58.76%
    Universitario 17.33%
    Draw 23.89%
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 14.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.33%

rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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