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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace


Anderson (39')
FT

Milivojevic (42'), Hughes (90+2')
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
53.73% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.74% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (0.18 0.18)46.7% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.17 0.17)68.96% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)17.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.66% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.242 0.24)34.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.256 0.26)71.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 53.72%
    Crystal Palace 22.74%
    Draw 23.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
86.2%
Draw
7.6%
Crystal Palace
6.2%
145
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace

Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-0
Crystal Palace
Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

Gallagher (45+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Newcastle

Dann (77'), Schlupp (90+3')
Wilson (88'), Joelinton (89')
Fernandez (17'), Longstaff (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


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