MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 08:55:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 9
May 20, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Rosenborg

Tromso
3 - 2
Rosenborg

Erlien (49'), Skjaervik (51'), Hjerto-Dahl (78')
Jenssen (65'), Nordas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reitan-Sunde (1'), Broholm (43' pen.)
Vaananen (71'), Selnaes (88'), Nelson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Rosenborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-3 KFUM
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Rosenborg

The teams have been poor at the back of late, and we expect both of them to be breached in this one. That said, we just about fancy the home side to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
52.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 22.03%25.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)37.15% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)59.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.39% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 52.58%
    Rosenborg 25.39%
    Draw 22.03%
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.58%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Tromso vs Rosenborg

Tromso IL
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rosenborg
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4pm
Jul 16, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Rosenborg
2-1
Tromso
Saeter (41'), Jenssen (90+1')
Pereira (29'), Cornic (55')
Aug 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 20
Tromso
4-3
Rosenborg
Mikkelsen (14', 90+2'), Kamanzi (16'), Yttergard Jenssen (48')
Mikkelsen (31'), Yttergard Jenssen (70'), Kitolano (82')
Mani Ingason (23', 28'), Rogers (35')
Skarsem (84')
Jul 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Rosenborg
3-0
Tromso
Jensen (38'), Dahl Reitan (45'), Chrupalla (90+2')
Rogers (28')

Nilsen (90+2')
Sep 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Rosenborg
3-2
Tromso
Jean Holm (21'), Konradsen Ceide (25'), Vecchia (90+4')
Tettey (40'), Orn Eyjolfsson (84')
Totland (36'), Ondrasek (51')
Yttergard Jenssen (74'), Gundersen (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt117312481624
2SK BrannBrann127322012824
3Fredrikstad116321910921
4MoldeMolde116232314920
5Viking FKViking FK105321611518
6StromsgodsetStromsgodset105141314-116
7KFUM OsloKFUM103521212014
8RosenborgRosenborg104151417-313
9FK HaugesundHaugesund104151014-413
10Odd113351121-1012
11HamKam112451313010
12Tromso ILTromso103161317-410
13KristiansundKristiansund112451419-510
14Lillestrom103161118-710
15Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg103161322-910
16SandefjordSandefjord102261216-48


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