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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
79.22% ( -0.42) | 12.71% ( 0.24) | 8.06% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.25% ( -0.59) | 26.75% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.83% ( -0.76) | 47.17% ( 0.76) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% ( -0.19) | 5.29% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.16% ( -0.55) | 20.84% ( 0.55) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.08% ( -0.06) | 41.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% ( -0.06) | 78.37% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.37% Total : 79.22% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.71% | 1-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 8.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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