MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 17:57:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Cerezo


Horigome (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
34.6%25.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.035000000000004 0.04)48.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.029999999999998 0.03)70.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.02000000000001 0.02)23.97% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.21% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.6%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.86%
    Draw 25.54%
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.86%

Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Cerezo
Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
Ceara (13')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 4
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Gameweek 22
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
11Kashiwa ReysolReysol165741721-422
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Albirex Niigata175482226-419
15Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
> J1 League Full Table


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