We say: Barcelona 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo's recent record against Barcelona is very impressive, and it would not be a surprise to see them claim another positive result this weekend. Rayo should have enough to stay in the division regardless of their final two results, though, and we are expecting Barcelona to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (4.1%).