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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Alaves logo

Osasuna
1 - 0
Alaves

Budimir (76')
Torro (16'), Herrando (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vicente (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Alaves

Both teams are set to be missing some important players on Monday through injury, but we are still expecting it to be a tight match between two sides in good form. Osasuna have home advantage, but Alaves are not losing many at the moment, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlaves
42.91% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 29.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 27.35% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.6% (-0.016 -0.02)84.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)30.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)66.73% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 42.91%
    Alaves 27.35%
    Draw 29.72%
OsasunaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.95%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.72%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Alaves

Osasuna
59.3%
Draw
31.1%
Alaves
9.6%
135
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Guevara (64'), Omorodion (65'), Garcia (85')
Blanco (49')
Arnaiz (36'), Budimir (90')
Pena (42'), Cruz (55'), Herrera (71')
Apr 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Budimir (90+2')
Vidal (9'), Budimir (29'), Torro (45+3')

N'Diaye (15')
Sep 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Laguardia (13'), Moya (28'), Duarte (29'), Navarro (70')
Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
0-1
Osasuna

Pina (44'), Laguardia (68'), Perez (82')
Barja (77')
Garcia (30'), Vidal (40'), Garcia (65'), Cruz (73')
Dec 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Osasuna
1-1
Alaves
Torres (68')
Calleri (41'), Herrera (64'), Sanjurjo (73')
Ruben (8')
Perez (75' pen.)
Pina (37'), Deyverson (40'), Lejeune (55'), Jota (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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