Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lille |
34.55% ( 0.93) | 28.56% ( 0.13) | 36.89% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.68% ( -0.39) | 60.31% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.52% ( -0.3) | 80.47% ( 0.29) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( 0.43) | 32.85% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( 0.47) | 69.42% ( -0.47) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.85) | 31.34% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -1) | 67.71% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.55% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |