Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
48.56% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 26.59% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.17% ( 0.03) | 48.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( 0.03) | 70.93% ( -0.04) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.01) | 20.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.58% ( 0.02) | 52.41% ( -0.02) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( 0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( 0.03) | 69.19% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |