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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Atlanta

Kelsy (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slisz (23'), Giakoumakis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Atlanta United

Cincinnati are in scintillating form at the moment and will feel it is the right time to get their first ever home win over Atlanta, who struggle on the road. We expect the home side to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
53.78% (-0.137 -0.14) 22.6% (0.252 0.25) 23.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (-1.299 -1.3)41.63% (1.295 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-1.324 -1.32)64.03% (1.321 1.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.50200000000001 -0.5)15.47% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.943 -0.94)44.34% (0.939 0.94)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.812 -0.81)31.21% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.955 -0.95)67.55% (0.95099999999999 0.95)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.78%
    Atlanta United 23.62%
    Draw 22.6%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.78%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.277 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Atlanta United
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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