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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.32% (-0.79 -0.79) 25.08% (0.332 0.33) 22.6% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.844 -0.84)53.14% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.722 -0.72)74.71% (0.717 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.652 -0.65)20.3% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-1.046 -1.05)52.67% (1.04 1.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 52.31%
    New York Red Bulls 22.6%
    Draw 25.08%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: Houston vs NY Red Bulls

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2020 11pm
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Houston
4-0
NY Red Bulls
Manotas (39'), Martinez (56'), Elis (72', 94')
Quioto (41'), DeLaGarza (70')
Figueroa (94')

Murillo (44'), Duncan (63'), Casseres (68')
Murillo (83'), Romero (94')
Aug 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 31
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Houston
White (55')

Leonardo (89')
Apr 2, 2017 1.30am
Houston
4-1
NY Red Bulls
Remick (14'), Torres (41' pen., 56', 91')
Remick (70'), Torres (87')
Wright-Phillips (13')
Lade (28'), Adams (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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