Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
44.06% ( 0.6) | 23.69% ( 0.13) | 32.24% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% ( -0.9) | 40.5% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% ( -0.93) | 62.88% ( 0.93) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.31% ( -0.11) | 18.69% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% ( -0.19) | 50.03% ( 0.19) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( -0.86) | 24.54% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% ( -1.22) | 59.02% ( 1.22) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |