Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 29.02% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
48.18% ( 0.03) | 22.8% ( -0.02) | 29.02% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 62.72% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.09% ( 0.07) | 37.91% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.83% ( 0.07) | 60.17% ( -0.06) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( 0.04) | 16.07% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( 0.07) | 45.45% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( 0.02) | 25.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% ( 0.03) | 60.03% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |