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Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Orlando City

Montreal
2 - 2
Orlando City

Toye (16'), Lassiter (88')
Sosa (10'), Sirois (20'), Waterman (77'), Lassiter (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (22' pen.), Angulo (90+2')
Jansson (8'), Araujo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Orlando City

Both sides have experienced their share of hardships to this stage of the season, though they have each been relatively resilient at the same time. That resilience has us leaning towards a draw for these two teams, who are usually fairly resolute at the back despite what many of their results this year may indicate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
42.72% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.71% (0.055 0.05) 32.57% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.229 -0.23)45.11% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.219 -0.22)67.46% (0.217 0.22)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)21.17% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.261 -0.26)54.04% (0.258 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)26.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)61.78% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.72%
    Orlando City 32.57%
    Draw 24.7%
CF MontrealDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.72%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Montreal
Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thor­halls­son (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')
Oct 17, 2022 1am
First Round
Montreal
2-0
Orlando City
Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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