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Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 FC Cincinnati

It seems to be taking the Revs longer than expected to adjust to the Caleb Porter way of playing, and they could still be figuring things out on Sunday. Defensively in 2024, Cincinnati have been a lot more compact and organised, and we believe a player with the vision and creativity of Acosta will find a way to expose a leaky Revs backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
48.46% (0.58600000000001 0.59) 23.35% (-0.203 -0.2) 28.19% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.687 0.69)41.1% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.695 0.7)63.49% (-0.69700000000001 -0.7)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.485 0.48)17.17% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.85 0.85)47.43% (-0.851 -0.85)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.44% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.112 0.11)62.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.46%
    FC Cincinnati 28.19%
    Draw 23.35%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
FC Cincinnati
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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