Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 35.67% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.56% ( -2.05) | 23.77% ( 0.05) | 35.67% ( 2) |
Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.09% ( 0.22) | 39.91% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.73% ( 0.23) | 62.27% ( -0.23) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.04% ( -0.82) | 19.96% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% ( -1.33) | 52.13% ( 1.32) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( 1.19) | 22.35% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% ( 1.76) | 55.84% ( -1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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