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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)
Martinez (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maehle (37')
Maehle (38'), Ederson (60'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

With Fiorentina growing in confidence in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of heaping the pressure on their opponents. However, we are backing Atalanta to bounce back from their defeat last time out, earning a share of the spoils which will at least keep their points tally ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
47.67% (1.217 1.22) 25.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 27.03% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.662 -0.66)50.43% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.588 -0.59)72.36% (0.589 0.59)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.25999999999999 0.26)21.17% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.404 0.4)54.04% (-0.404 -0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-1.274 -1.27)33.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-1.429 -1.43)69.75% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.67%
    Atalanta BC 27.03%
    Draw 25.3%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.6%
129
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Napoli371313115548752
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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