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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 1
AC Milan


Cuadrado (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
44.29% (0.83 0.83) 28.16% (0.154 0.15) 27.54% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.951 -0.95)60.76% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.723 -0.72)80.82% (0.718 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.012 -0.01)27.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.334 -1.33)38.32% (1.33 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-1.304 -1.3)75.08% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 44.29%
    AC Milan 27.54%
    Draw 28.16%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
59.8%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
20.7%
87
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')

Cuadrado (26')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 16
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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