Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
18.73% ( 0.72) | 22.54% ( 0.09) | 58.74% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.68) | 47.57% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( 0.62) | 69.77% ( -0.62) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( 1.22) | 39.35% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( 1.12) | 76.05% ( -1.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( -0.04) | 15.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.94% ( -0.07) | 45.07% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.73% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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