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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
vs.
Danubio

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it is 0-1 (5.72%).

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
58.57% (-0.586 -0.59) 22.4% (0.295 0.3) 19.02% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.83 -0.83)46.55% (0.834 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.785 -0.79)68.83% (0.789 0.79)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.47399999999999 -0.47)15.57% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (-0.89 -0.89)44.52% (0.893 0.89)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.162 -0.16)38.42% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.155 -0.16)75.18% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.56%
    Danubio 19.02%
    Draw 22.4%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.02%

Who will win Friday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio?

Nacional
Draw
Danubio
Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Danubio
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1384127151228
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6LiverpoolLiverpool134632119218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
8Cerro Largo135351413118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado134271317-414
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones131571625-98


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