Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.41% ( -0.47) | 22.65% ( -0.05) | 37.94% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 66.77% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66% ( 0.32) | 34% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.13% ( 0.36) | 55.87% ( -0.36) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.07) | 17.96% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( -0.11) | 48.8% ( 0.11) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.39% ( 0.37) | 18.61% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.1% ( 0.63) | 49.9% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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