Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno2 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fortaleza |
39.1% ( 1.9) | 28.23% ( 0.02) | 32.67% ( -1.92) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.63% ( -0.3) | 59.37% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.24% ( -0.23) | 79.76% ( 0.23) |
Cerro Porteno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( 0.99) | 29.53% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.44% ( 1.19) | 65.56% ( -1.2) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -1.46) | 33.65% ( 1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -1.62) | 70.3% ( 1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro Porteno 39.1%
Fortaleza 32.67%
Draw 28.23%
Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.67% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-02 00:43:56
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal 'make contact over move for £17m-rated Barcelona man'
2
Man United 'add £60m Brazilian to attacking transfer shortlist'
3
How Germany could line up against Ukraine
4
Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid - as it happened
5
Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid - highlights, man of the match, best stats
6
Spurs 'to speak with Premier League attacker amid gentleman's agreement'
7
Three left-backs Man Utd could sign this summer
8
Dortmund vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Barcelona 'could sell attacker for £85.2m this summer'
10
Real Madrid beat Dortmund at Wembley to win 15th European Cup
Sport News 24/7