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Cremonese
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
3 - 2
Ternana

Bogdan (15' og.), Okereke (22'), Quagliata (60')
Chiriches (45+1'), Sernicola (63'), Quagliata (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rovaglia (54'), Palumbo (57')
Di Tacchio (34'), Ghiringhelli (45'), Palumbo (88')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cremonese and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Ternana
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawTernana
52.44% (-0.729 -0.73) 22.75% (0.162 0.16) 24.81% (0.565 0.57)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.179 -0.18)41.1% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.183 -0.18)63.49% (0.182 0.18)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.313 -0.31)15.73% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (-0.581 -0.58)44.83% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (0.36000000000001 0.36)29.94% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (0.431 0.43)66.05% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 52.44%
    Ternana 24.81%
    Draw 22.74%
CremoneseDrawTernana
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Ternana

Cremonese
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Ternana
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 1.05pm
Ternana
1-2
Cremonese
Mazzocchi (62')
Partipilo (23'), Salzano (81')
Baez (59'), Gaetano (80')
Castagnetti (27'), Fagioli (58'), Baez (64')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Cremonese
2-0
Ternana
Zanimacchia (44'), Di Carmine (73')
Fagioli (30'), Gaetano (89')

Proietti (52'), Capuano (60')
Mar 3, 2018 2pm
Ternana
2-1
Cremonese
Montalto (7'), Defendi (42')
Piovaccari (90')
Cavion (68')
Claiton (52'), Piccolo (90')
Oct 8, 2017 2pm
Cremonese
3-3
Ternana
Piccolo (9' pen.), Scappini (70'), Mokulu Tembe (88')
Pesce (90')
Carretta (42'), Signorini (45'), Albadoro (45')
Albadoro (45'), Varone (61'), Signorini (73')
Signorini (83')
rhs 2.0
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