League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
May 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's1 - 2Shelbourne
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
18
We said: St Patrick's Athletic 1-1 Shelbourne
While six places and 12 points separate Monday's foes in the standings, their two previous meetings this term have been close-run affairs, and St Patrick's home exploits were applaudable before Friday's reverse. Factoring in Shelbourne's recent problems on the road, as well as the fact that both sides also working around limited recovery time, a tightly-fought stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
35.56% ( -0.09) | 28.78% ( 0) | 35.65% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
