Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
65.66% ( -0.52) | 19.48% ( 0.22) | 14.86% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( -0.38) | 40.96% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.65% ( -0.38) | 63.35% ( 0.38) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.33% ( -0.25) | 11.67% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.26% ( -0.53) | 36.74% ( 0.53) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.86% ( 0.17) | 40.13% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.23% ( 0.16) | 76.77% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Charlotte FC |
2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.65% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.48% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 14.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |