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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
St Louis City

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
66.89% (1.879 1.88) 19.07% (-0.212 -0.21) 14.04% (-1.667 -1.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-3.607 -3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.621 -2.62)40.85% (2.621 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.732 -2.73)63.23% (2.732 2.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.259 -0.26)11.31% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.568 -0.57)35.95% (0.569 0.57)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-3.884 -3.88)41.2% (3.884 3.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-3.634 -3.63)77.73% (3.634 3.63)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.88%
    St Louis City 14.04%
    Draw 19.07%
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% (1.06 1.06)
1-0 @ 10.15% (1.069 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.695 0.69)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.336 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.407 -0.41)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs St Louis City

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
St Louis City
5-1
Cincinnati
Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
Santos (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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