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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union are on a better run of results heading into this one but Inter Miami's home form indicates that they are certainly no pushovers. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
38.53% (-0.19 -0.19) 26.72% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.75% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68% (-0.111 -0.11)53.32% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)74.86% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.157 -0.16)26.96% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (-0.207 -0.21)62.3% (0.205 0.2)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.053999999999995 0.05)65.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.53%
    Philadelphia Union 34.75%
    Draw 26.72%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia

Inter Miami
25.8%
Draw
29.0%
Philadelphia Union
45.2%
31
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Jul 26, 2021 12.30am
Apr 25, 2021 1am
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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