Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 9 | 30 |
3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 16 | -8 | 17 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
60.75% ( 3.08) | 22.62% ( -1.3) | 16.62% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.91% ( 2.39) | 51.08% ( -2.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 2.06) | 72.94% ( -2.06) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( 1.95) | 16.39% ( -1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% ( 3.42) | 46.04% ( -3.42) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.05% ( -0.78) | 43.95% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.92% ( -0.65) | 80.08% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 23 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |