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Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Chicago Fire

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Fernandez (64')
Rodriguez (78'), O'Toole (89'), Perea (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

Chicago have lost seven successive away matches versus NYCFC in this competition, and though this will be their first visit to Citi Field, we believe the Pigeons' desperation will serve them well on Decision Day, though it may already be too little too late for each side in the playoff battle.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
64.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 20.66% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)13.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 64.98%
    Chicago Fire 14.36%
    Draw 20.66%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.66%
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.36%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Chicago Fire
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Sep 30, 2021 1am
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
2-0
NY City
Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC176561516-123
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164572018217
12Orlando City164571624-817
13CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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