Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
5 | Inter Miami | 26 | -4 | 36 |
6 | Orlando City | 26 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.15% ( 0.14) | 23.93% ( 0) | 17.92% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.83% ( -0.22) | 54.16% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.42% ( -0.19) | 75.58% ( 0.18) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( -0.03) | 18.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.39% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( -0.32) | 44.16% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.74% ( -0.26) | 80.25% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |