Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
61.33% ( -0.01) | 22.39% ( 0.01) | 16.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.01) | 50.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.01) | 72.62% ( 0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( -0.01) | 16.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( -0.01) | 45.46% ( 0.02) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( 0) | 44.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.73% | 80.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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