Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
28.14% ( 0.29) | 27.3% ( 0.09) | 44.56% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.5% ( -0.18) | 57.5% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% ( -0.14) | 78.29% ( 0.14) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( 0.14) | 36.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( 0.14) | 72.83% ( -0.14) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( -0.27) | 25.68% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( -0.38) | 60.59% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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