MX23RW : Monday, May 20 02:58:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles Almelo

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Heracles

Thy (16'), van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Heracles

As shown by their respective league standings, there is little separating the teams, and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the away side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
59.62% (1.509 1.51) 20.38% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20% (-1.528 -1.53)
Both teams to score 60.71% (-2.626 -2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14% (-2.31 -2.31)35.86% (2.307 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06% (-2.588 -2.59)57.94% (2.585 2.59)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.31 -0.31)11.78% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (-0.665 -0.66)36.97% (0.661 0.66)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-2.727 -2.73)31.19% (2.724 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-3.296 -3.3)67.53% (3.293 3.29)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 59.62%
    Heracles 20%
    Draw 20.38%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.748 0.75)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.787 0.79)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.467 0.47)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.295 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.213 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.62%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.408 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

PEC Zwolle
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Heracles
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Heracles
Van Polen (90+2' pen.)

Vloet (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!