Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 2Bodo/Glimt
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Ajax 3-2 Bodo/Glimt
Given their performance at the weekend, Ajax feel in disarray once again. Nevertheless, they are never short of goals, and we are backing them to run out narrow victors in a thriller that will leave the second leg very much in the balance. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
43.16% ( -0.01) | 20.7% ( 0) | 36.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 74.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
