Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma0 - 2B. Leverkusen
FT(HT: 0-1)
The Match
Match Report
Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen record a 2-0 victory over Roma in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final in Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Roma
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
27.53% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( 0.01) | 48.1% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.87% ( -0.01) | 46.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.57% ( -0.01) | 68.43% ( 0.01) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( 0.03) | 30.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( 0.03) | 66.72% ( -0.03) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.01% ( -0.04) | 50.98% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Roma 27.53%
Bayer Leverkusen 48.1%
Draw 24.37%
Roma | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.1% |
How you voted: Roma vs B. Leverkusen
Roma
30.4%Draw
25.6%Bayer Leverkusen
44.0%359
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-02 00:08:46
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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