MX23RW : Monday, May 20 11:53:36| >> :60:305:305:
Aston Villa logo
Friendlies
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.10pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Chelsea

McGinn (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea lose 1-0 to Aston Villa in their mid-season friendly in Abu Dhabi, with John McGinn's first-half effort proving to be the difference.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's mid-season friendly with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
34.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 24.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 40.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-0.058 -0.06)45.5% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-0.055 -0.05)67.83% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.34% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)55.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 34.48%
    Chelsea 40.62%
    Draw 24.9%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Chelsea
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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