Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
65.06% ( -0.05) | 20.37% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% ( 0.03) | 45.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( 0.03) | 67.84% ( -0.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.8% ( -0) | 13.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.01) | 39.93% ( 0) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.66% ( 0.07) | 43.34% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.06) | 79.58% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |