Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
26.9% ( -0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.03) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( -0.15) | 56.07% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( -0.12) | 77.15% ( 0.12) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.15) | 36.29% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( -0.15) | 73.07% ( 0.14) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( -0.05) | 24.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( -0.06) | 58.47% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.9% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |