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Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 2, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, March 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon

 We expect this match to be a very tight affair as both sides have several quality players that should cancel each other out. There is a feeling that both sides will be cautious and smart with their approach given that they will face off in the league once again on Saturday. We are calling a draw but both sides should find the net in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
53.77% (-0.055 -0.05) 22.75% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 23.48% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.45% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)42.47% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)64.88% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)15.77% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)44.89% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.8% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.012 -0.01)68.23% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 53.77%
    Sporting Lisbon 23.48%
    Draw 22.75%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
51.9%
Draw
23.5%
Sporting Lisbon
24.7%
81
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos (37', 64')
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
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0-2
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