Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
60.03% ( 0.01) | 21.72% ( -0) | 18.25% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.01) | 44.77% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.01) | 67.13% ( -0) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% ( 0) | 14.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% ( 0.01) | 42.5% ( -0.01) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0) | 38.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0) | 75% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |